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Geoscience Letters

Official Journal of the Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (AOGS)

Fig. 5 | Geoscience Letters

Fig. 5

From: Reconciling opposite trends in the observed and simulated equatorial Pacific zonal sea surface temperature gradient

Fig. 5

30-year sliding linear trends of SST gradients (units: ℃/100 yr) simulated by CMIP6 (a, c) and six large ensembles (b, d) from 1981 to 2100. The dots and dashed curves indicate SST gradient trends obtained from historical and SSP5-8.5 simulations by all models (black), S models (red), and W models (blue). Vertical error bars indicate the 66% error range, and the horizontal axis indicates the end year for the 30-year segment. The criterion of S/W models in the first column (a, b) is based on the strengthening/weakening SST gradient trends. The criterion of S/W models in the second column (c, d) is based on the highest/lowest correlation between the model IPO trend and the observed IPO trend

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