Official Journal of the Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (AOGS)
Table 5 Area affected (%) per WCSI categories under climate change projections for three models
Class | Baseline | Class | SSP126 | SSP245 | SSP585 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 2040 | 2080 2100 | 2020 2040 | 2080 2100 | 2020 2040 | 2080 2100 | |||
1982 2015 | ||||||||
S1(95–100) | 13 | BCC-CSM2-MR | ||||||
S1 | 15.5 (+ 2.5) | 14.8 (+ 1.8) | 21.4 (+ 8.4) | 16.4 (+ 3.4) | 21.6 (+ 8.6) | 6.1(− 6.9) | ||
S2 | 74.7 (− 2.5) | 80.1 (+ 2.9) | 73.1 (− 4.1) | 64 (− 13.2) | 66.6(− 10.6) | 63.1(− 14.1) | ||
S3 | 9.8 (0) | 5.1(-4.7) | 5.5 (− 4.3) | 19.6 (+ 9.8) | 11.8 (+ 2) | 30.8 (+ 21) | ||
S2(85–95) | 77.2 | CanESM5 | ||||||
S1 | 21.4(+ 8.4) | 21.6(+ 8.6) | 21.3(+ 8.3) | 13.5(+ 0.5) | 20.5(+ 7.5) | 1.3(− 11.7) | ||
S2 | 64.4(− 12.8) | 60.8(−16.4) | 64(− 13.2) | 59.2(− 18) | 64.2(− 13) | 64.5(− 12.7) | ||
S3 | 14.2(+ 4.4) | 17.6(+ 7.8) | 14.7(+ 4.9) | 27.3(+ 17.5) | 15.3(+ 5.5) | 34.2(+ 24.4) | ||
S3(60–85) | 9.8 | IPSL-CM6A-LR | ||||||
S1 | 21.2(+ 8.2) | 15.6(+ 2.6) | 15(+ 2) | 8.8(− 4.2) | 21.6(+ 8.6) | 2.2(− 10.8) | ||
S2 | 66.4(− 10.8) | 67.3(− 9.9) | 68.2(− 9) | 60.8(− 16.4) | 68.5(− 8.7) | 62.6(− 14.6) | ||
S3 | 12.4(+ 2.6) | 17.1(+ 7.3) | 16.8(+ 7) | 30.4(+ 20.6) | 9.9(+ 0.1) | 35.2(+ 25.4) | ||