Official Journal of the Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (AOGS)
Table 2 The fault parameters for the segment of the Sumatran Fault in the vicinity of the Pasaman earthquake (summarized by Irsyam et al. 2020)
ID | Segment | Last earthquakes | Time elapse (until 2022) | Expected magnitude | Slip rate (mm/yr) | Recurrence interval (year) | Max ∆CFS (bars) | Short-term rate change | Rupture probability in 50 years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Angkola | 1892 | 130 | 7.7 | 14 | 291 | 0.01 | 3.4% | 16.5% |
2 | Barumun | No record | N/A | 7.5 | 14 | 192 | −0.01 | −3.3% | NA |
3 | Sumpur | No record | N/A | 6.9 | 14 | 55 | 0.10 | 39.6% | NA |
4 | Sianok | 1926 | 96 | 7.4 | 14 | 156 | 0.10 | 39.6% | 41.2% |
5 | Sumani | 1943 | 79 | 7.1 | 14 | 84 | 0.03 | 10.5% | 72.0% |