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Official Journal of the Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (AOGS)

Table 6 Percentage of cases where the mean absolute error of temperature forecasting is between 0–1°C, 1–2°C, 2–4°C and above 4°C for each area between the e-kmf® and CFS-NCEP models and the climatological mean for the year 2010

From: Benchmark analysis of forecasted seasonal temperature over different climatic areas

Mean absolute error of temperature forecast (%)

e-KMF

Climatology

NCEP

North

Centre

South

North

Centre

South

North

Centre

South

between 0–1°C

47.92

59.03

59.72

36.81

30.56

33.33

4.86

25.00

29.86

between 1–2°C

29.86

25.69

25.69

24.31

40.28

39.58

7.64

29.86

29.17

between 2–4°C

17.36

11.11

11.11

29.86

25.69

25.00

27.78

31.25

34.72

between >4°C

4.86

4.17

3.47

9.03

3.47

2.08

59.72

13.89

6.25