Official Journal of the Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (AOGS)
Table 4 Mean absolute error of temperature (°C) for each week of forecasting between the e-kmf® and the CFS-NCEP model for each area of Italy
From: Benchmark analysis of forecasted seasonal temperature over different climatic areas
Week of forecast | e-kmf | Climatology | CFS-NCEP | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North | Centre | South | North | Centre | South | North | Centre | South | |
1 | 0.89 | 0.53 | 1.42 | 0.00 | 0.22 | 0.96 | 22.62 | 4.05 | 4.72 |
2 | 3.41 | 2.14 | 2.91 | 7.76 | 2.04 | 3.83 | 23.37 | 5.88 | 7.86 |
3 | 3.13 | 3.95 | 2.25 | 11.90 | 1.94 | 0.63 | 27.56 | 8.03 | 5.06 |
4 | 3.88 | 2.44 | 1.79 | 5.69 | 2.14 | 1.15 | 31.27 | 6.85 | 3.83 |
5 | 4.53 | 3.63 | 2.97 | 3.97 | 4.09 | 1.69 | 26.38 | 6.50 | 4.90 |
6 | 3.97 | 3.11 | 3.21 | 0.22 | 4.44 | 4.93 | 29.33 | 8.65 | 7.57 |
7 | 6.62 | 6.52 | 3.82 | 0.96 | 12.60 | 5.59 | 28.81 | 7.80 | 3.03 |
8 | 4.89 | 1.68 | 3.21 | 0.24 | 1.84 | 1.54 | 25.00 | 4.40 | 3.30 |
9 | 2.06 | 0.91 | 1.50 | 28.55 | 11.46 | 7.06 | 29.13 | 6.69 | 3.32 |
10 | 5.05 | 4.10 | 2.75 | 0.05 | 0.17 | 1.16 | 26.97 | 6.73 | 7.41 |
11 | 1.09 | 0.85 | 1.50 | 6.18 | 7.41 | 3.24 | 30.88 | 7.11 | 3.33 |
12 | 2.29 | 1.20 | 0.94 | 0.34 | 3.94 | 2.10 | 27.28 | 6.74 | 8.03 |
Mean | 3.48 | 2.59 | 2.36 | 5.49 | 4.36 | 2.82 | 27.38 | 6.62 | 5.20 |