Benchmark analysis of forecasted seasonal temperature over different climatic areas

Geoscience Letters

Official Journal of the Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (AOGS)

Table 3 Mean absolute error of temperature (°C) for each model (e-kmf^®, CFS-NCEP, Climatology) vs. area and month

Initialization month	e-kmf®			Climatology			CFS-NCEP
Initialization month	North	Center	South	North	Center	South	North	Center	South
January	1.25	0.92	0.69	1.77	1.86	1.58	4.01	2.56	2.39
February	1.80	1.61	1.23	1.84	2.05	1.66	5.29	2.75	1.62
March	1.46	1.24	0.99	1.90	1.66	1.44	6.03	2.42	1.54
April	0.99	0.75	0.66	1.78	1.57	1.60	5.88	2.36	1.81
May	1.58	1.67	1.74	2.26	2.14	1.65	6.35	2.78	1.85
June	1.05	0.68	0.90	2.30	2.15	1.60	5.42	2.57	1.90
July	1.46	1.24	0.99	1.90	1.66	1.44	5.10	2.12	1.40
August	0.86	0.61	0.47	1.41	1.18	1.05	4.23	1.71	1.39
September	0.95	0.56	0.43	1.31	1.15	0.89	5.05	2.01	1.11
October	1.97	1.46	1.57	2.10	1.59	1.66	2.96	1.91	2.18
November	1.57	1.43	1.40	1.78	1.52	1.48	2.43	1.31	2.53
December	1.69	1.48	2.09	1.90	1.65	1.55	3.40	1.29	2.66
Mean	1.39	1.14	1.10	1.85	1.68	1.47	4.68	2.15	1.86