Official Journal of the Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (AOGS)
Table 5 Temperature and precipitation prediction model based on the teleconnection as a function of the lag time
From: Predicting temperature and precipitation during the flood season based on teleconnection
Lag time | Prediction model | |
|---|---|---|
1 month | Monthly precipitation | \(P ={a}_{1}\cdot \text{SST}(-1)+{a}_{2} \cdot \text{SST}(-2)+ \cdots +{a}_{6}\cdot \text{SST}\left(-6\right)+ {b}_{1}\cdot \text{GPH}(-1)+{b}_{2}\cdot \text{GPH}(-2)+ \cdots +{b}_{6}\cdot \text{GPH}(-6)\) |
Monthly mean temperature | \(T ={\acute{a}}_{1}\cdot \text{SST}(-1)+{\acute{a}}_{2} \cdot \text{SST}(-2)+ \cdots +{\acute{a}}_{6}\cdot \text{SST}(-6) + {\acute{b}}_{1}\cdot \text{GPH}(-1)+{\acute{b}}_{2}\cdot \text{GPH}(-2)+ \cdots +{\acute{b}}_{6}\cdot \text{GPH}(-6)\) | |
2 months | Monthly precipitation | \(P ={a}_{1}\cdot \text{SST}(-2)+{a}_{2} \cdot \text{SST}(-3)+ \cdots +{a}_{5}\cdot \text{SST}(-6) + {b}_{1}\cdot \text{GPH}(-2)+{b}_{2}\cdot \text{GPH}(-3)+ \cdots +{b}_{5}\cdot \text{GPH}(-6)\) |
Monthly mean temperature | \(T ={\acute{a}}_{1}\cdot \text{SST}\left(-2\right)+{\acute{a}}_{2} \cdot \text{SST}\left(-3\right)+ \cdots +{\acute{a}}_{5}\cdot \text{SST}\left(-6\right)+ {\acute{b}}_{1}\cdot \text{GPH}(-2)+{\acute{b}}_{2}\cdot \text{GPH}(-3)+ \cdots +{\acute{b}}_{5}\cdot \text{GPH}(-6)\) | |
3 months | Monthly precipitation | \(P ={a}_{1}\cdot \text{SST}(-3)+{a}_{2} \cdot \text{SST}(-4)+ \cdots +{a}_{4}\cdot \text{SST}(-6) + {b}_{1}\cdot \text{GPH}(-3)+{b}_{2}\cdot \text{GPH}(-4)+ \cdots +{b}_{4}\cdot \text{GPH}(-6)\) |
Monthly mean temperature | \(T ={\acute{a}}_{1}\cdot \text{SST}(-3)+{\acute{a}}_{2} \cdot \text{SST}(-4)+ \cdots +{\acute{a}}_{4}\cdot \text{SST}(-6) + {\acute{b}}_{1}\cdot \text{GPH}(-3)+{\acute{b}}_{2}\cdot \text{GPH}(-4)+ \cdots +{\acute{b}}_{4}\cdot \text{GPH}(-6)\) | |
4 months | Monthly precipitation | \(P ={a}_{1}\cdot \text{SST}(-4)+{a}_{2} \cdot \text{SST}(-5)+{a}_{3} \cdot \text{SST}(-6) + {b}_{1}\cdot \text{GPH}(-4)+{b}_{2}\cdot \text{GPH}(-5)+{b}_{3}\cdot \text{GPH}(-6)\) |
Monthly mean temperature | \(T ={\acute{a}}_{1}\cdot \text{SST}(-4)+{\acute{a}}_{2} \cdot \text{SST}(-5)+ {\acute{a}}_{3}\cdot \text{SST}(-6) + {\acute{b}}_{1}\cdot \text{GPH}(-4)+{\acute{b}}_{2}\cdot \text{GPH}(-5)+ {\acute{b}}_{3}\cdot \text{GPH}(-6)\) | |
5 months | Monthly precipitation | \(P ={a}_{1}\cdot \text{SST}(-5)+{a}_{2} \cdot \text{SST}(-6) + {b}_{1}\cdot \text{GPH}(-5)+{b}_{2}\cdot \text{GPH}(-6)\) |
Monthly mean temperature | \(T ={\acute{a}}_{1}\cdot \text{SST}(-5)+{\acute{a}}_{2} \cdot \text{SST}(-6) + {\acute{b}}_{1}\cdot \text{GPH}(-5)+{\acute{b}}_{2}\cdot \text{GPH}(-6)\) | |
6 months | Monthly precipitation | \(P ={a}_{1}\cdot \text{SST}\left(-6\right)+{b}_{1}\cdot \text{GPH}(-6)\) |
Monthly mean temperature | \(T ={\acute{a}}_{1}\cdot \text{SST}(-6)+{\acute{b}}_{1}\cdot \text{GPH}(-6)\) | |